Current:Home > InvestThe U.S. dollar conquered the world. Is it at risk of losing its top spot? -GrowthSphere Strategies
The U.S. dollar conquered the world. Is it at risk of losing its top spot?
View
Date:2025-04-12 09:42:55
You might just think of the dollar as the money in your wallet, the cash you use to buy your morning coffee.
But the dollar is much, much bigger than that.
The dollar is the world's currency: It dominates global business.
Economists call it the "global reserve currency," a fancy title the dollar got about 80 years ago that has brought some pretty serious perks to the U.S. economy.
But could the dollar get knocked off the top spot? There are challengers emerging, and history shows that countries whose currency dominated the globe can fall from that top spot pretty fast ... even over the course of a few days.
How it started: timing + muscle + lots of gold
The U.S. dollar did not luck its way into the top spot.
It was a carefully engineered plan that unfolded in the mountains of New Hampshire nearly 80 years ago. At the time the British Pound Sterling was the international currency. A title it had held for decades.
The dollar's rise happened pretty suddenly at the Bretton Woods International Monetary Conference in 1944. Bretton Woods was a gathering of world leaders at the end of World War II. They came together to try and establish an international system for trade and finance, to help bind the world together and increase prosperity for all.
Everyone agreed that in order to ease international trade, there needed to be a common currency, a standard everyone could use.
At the time of the conference, the British economy was in shambles. The costs of fighting a war on its own soil had been enormous. It was clear that the British Pound Sterling could not be the currency everyone counted on.
So the British pushed for a new currency that would solely be used for inter-country trades: Economist John Maynard Keynes, who was at Bretton Woods on behalf of the British, proposed the "Bancor" (a mix of the French work for bank, 'banc' and the French word for gold 'or) but also suggested "Orb" and even ... "Unicorn."
But the U.S. dollar left the Bancor, the Orb and the Unicorn in its dust. The U.S. was economically quite strong. It also had lots of gold in its vaults, which made people feel like its wealth was backed up.
It used these advantages to help muscle the dollar in as the official currency of international business at the conference.
The perks of being the world's currency
Being the world's reserve currency essentially means the U.S. dollar is at the center of most of the business on Earth.
Example: If you're a clothing designer in Chile and you order cotton from Egypt for some shirts you plan to make, you will pay for that cotton in U.S. dollars. Not Chilean pesos and not Egyptian pounds.
To be clear, the U.S. isn't involved in that deal at all, but the U.S. dollar is. When international deals happen, they usually happen in dollars.
This is a big boost to the U.S. in all kinds of way: For example, it means domestic businesses have a home court (home currency) advantage when they do business overseas.
But as the Bretton Woods conference demonstrated, that top spot can slip away pretty fast
"We have an important advantage, which may whittle away slowly if we're not careful," says economist Michael Boskin, a former White House advisor.
The challenges to the dollar
There are a couple reasons why the dollar's status is suddenly being talked about as at risk.
Earlier this year, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and even Brazil started making trades in other currencies: The Chinese Yuan and the Russian ruble. This was a very direct challenge to the U.S. dollar's central position.
China has long been pushing to have its currency replace the dollar, but it's getting momentum now for a couple of possible reasons:
First: the debt ceiling. Being the currency everyone counts on to do business means people have to believe that your currency is reliable. That recent debt ceiling drama made the U.S. (and, by extension, the dollar) look potentially risky and unstable.
Using the dollar as an economic weapon
The debt ceiling is not at the heart of the recent spate of non-dollar trades, says Benn Steil, an economist with the Council on Foreign relations.
"The real issue is the U.S. government's increasing use of the dollar as a tool for financial sanctions," he says.
The dollar is so powerful, if you can't use it, you are essentially iced out of being able to do most business anywhere in the world.
The U.S. has used this as a nonviolent way to put pressure on countries: North Korea, Iran and most recently Russia. After the invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. said, 'No dollar for you!'
Steil says the economic impacts of those sanctions have been massive and other countries have noticed.
"Sanctions are an effective tool, but we have to be careful," he says. "It's like over-prescribing an effective antibiotic. It encourages the development of new strains of bacteria that are resistant to the antibiotic."
If you are a country that has a complicated relationship with the U.S., watching the effect of American financial sanctions on Russia is scary. It's been enough to push China, Saudi Arabia and others to make deals that get around the dollar, trying to chip away at its power
"This is not nearly as efficient as using the dollar," Steil says of these deals. "That can lead to a massive fragmentation in the global economy and a much less efficient and less productive global economy."
It's still all about the Benjamins... for now
Right now, the dollar has a lot of momentum and is not at any immediate risk of losing its top spot, says economist Michael Boskin.
Still, he says momentum can change fast.
"Other countries in previous times have been the reserve currency and they fritter that away," he says. "We need to be very careful."
And right now, with so much global turmoil, China and others have started to see a possible opening to grab that top spot – or at least start to chip away at the U.S. dollar's dominance.
veryGood! (381)
Related
- Whoopi Goldberg is delightfully vile as Miss Hannigan in ‘Annie’ stage return
- Presidents Cup 2024: Results, highlights from U.S.'s 10th-straight Presidents Cup win
- Attorneys for NYC Mayor Eric Adams seek dismissal of bribery charge brought by ‘zealous prosecutors’
- Biden says he hopes to visit Helene-impacted areas this week if it doesn’t impact emergency response
- Nevada attorney general revives 2020 fake electors case
- College Football Misery Index: Ole Miss falls flat despite spending big
- How Helene became the near-perfect storm to bring widespread destruction across the South
- Mega Millions winning numbers for September 27 drawing; jackpot at $93 million
- Louvre will undergo expansion and restoration project, Macron says
- Clemson University to open arena, outdoor wellness center for area residents after Hurricane Helene
Ranking
- Finally, good retirement news! Southwest pilots' plan is a bright spot, experts say
- Lauren Conrad Shares Rare Update on Husband William Tell and Their 2 Sons
- Powerball winning numbers for September 28: Jackpot at $258 million
- Map shows 19 states affected by listeria outbreak tied to Boar's Head deli meat
- Krispy Kreme offers a free dozen Grinch green doughnuts: When to get the deal
- Opinion: Treating athletes' mental health just like physical health can save lives
- Appeals stretch 4 decades for a prisoner convicted on little police evidence
- Stuck NASA astronauts welcome SpaceX capsule that’ll bring them home next year
Recommendation
DeepSeek: Did a little known Chinese startup cause a 'Sputnik moment' for AI?
'Days of Our Lives' icon Drake Hogestyn, beloved as John Black, dies at 70
Phillies become the hunted in MLB playoffs as NL East champs: 'We're ready for it'
What is 'Ozempic face'? How we refer to weight-loss side effects matters.
Nevada attorney general revives 2020 fake electors case
Rashee Rice's injury opens the door for Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy
Oasis adds US, Canada and Mexico stops to 2025 tour
Map shows 19 states affected by listeria outbreak tied to Boar's Head deli meat